Strategy library

Rules you can check before you trade them.

Every strategy carries its exact rules, an annotated chart of the setup, the research behind why it should work at all — and the conditions under which you should not take it.

Showing 1–10 of 12 matching strategies

Evidence: WeakBeginner

RSI Overbought and Oversold

what the 70 and 30 lines actually tell you

RSI above 70 is called overbought and below 30 oversold, and beginners are taught to sell the first and buy the second. Traded that way it is one of the more reliable ways to lose money in a trending market, because in a strong trend the RSI stays above 70 for weeks while price keeps going.

H1 to D1Foundations · Oscillator
Evidence: WeakBeginner

Fibonacci Retracement

the most popular tool with the least support

Draw from a swing low to a swing high and the tool marks 38.2%, 50% and 61.8%. The claim is that pullbacks stall at these fractions because of a mathematical relationship found in nature.

H1 to D1Foundations · Retracement
Evidence: ModerateBeginner

Previous Day High / Low Break and Retest

PDH / PDL liquidity levels

The previous trading day's high and low are the most widely watched intraday levels in FX. The trade is continuation on the break of one of them.

D1 levels · H1 / M15 executionBreakout · Support & Resistance
Evidence: WeakBeginner

MACD Histogram Acceleration

the popular one, and what it actually measures

The MACD histogram is the difference between two exponential averages, minus a third average of that difference. Rising histogram is usually described as accelerating momentum.

H1 or H4Momentum · Indicator
Evidence: ModerateBeginner

Pin Bar at a Higher-Timeframe Level

the control case for Day 5

A pin bar is a candle whose wick is at least two thirds of its total range, whose body sits in the opposite third, and which closes on the correct side of the level.

M15 entry · H1 levelPrice Action · Reversal Trigger
Evidence: WeakBeginner

Engulfing Bar at a Level

the most-taught candle, in the only place it means anything

A bar whose body completely covers the previous bar's body, closing in the opposite direction. Taken alone it is one of the weakest signals in retail trading — it happens constantly and predicts very little.

H1 or H4 · the level comes from D1Price action · Candle
Evidence: WeakBeginner

Wide-Range Bar Retracement

half of the move that started it

One bar moves a long way. Price then retraces into the middle of that bar, and the trade is taken there on the assumption that the move continues.

H1 or H4Price action · Pullback
Evidence: ModerateBeginner

RSI(2) Extremes

the short-period oscillator

A two-period RSI is deliberately jumpy. It is not there to describe a trend — it is there to register, in one number, that the last two bars have been one-sided. Below 5 means almost everything recently has been selling.

H1 primary · D1 for the trend filterMean reversion · Oscillator
Evidence: ModerateBeginner

Bollinger Band Fade

two standard deviations

Bollinger bands put a number on how unusual the current price is, in units of its own recent volatility. A close outside the lower band means price is further from its twenty-period average than it has been about ninety-five percent of the time.

M15 primary · H1 for the range checkMean reversion · Volatility band
Evidence: WeakBeginner

Williams %R Reversion

position in the range, unsmoothed

Williams %R answers one question and nothing else: where did this bar close inside the high-low range of the last N bars? At −100 it closed at the very bottom of it; at 0, at the very top.

H1 primary · H4 for contextMean reversion · Oscillator

What the evidence rating means

Strong

The mechanism has peer-reviewed, FX-specific research behind it.

Moderate

The mechanism is sound, but at least one step of it is untested.

Weak

Practitioner literature only — no published research supports the mechanism.

It rates the mechanism — whether there is published research explaining why the market should behave this way. It does not rate profit. Strong does not mean the trade will work. None of these have been run on our own account, and no page here shows a backtest figure.

What the level means

Beginner

One instrument, one timeframe, every rule visible on the chart.

Intermediate

Several conditions have to line up, and execution starts to matter.

Professional

Needs an outside data feed, a basket, real order flow, or an unusual tolerance for lumpy losses.

The level describes what it takes to run the strategy, not how well it works. Several Beginner pages are better evidenced than several Professional ones — a basket carry trade is Professional because it needs eight currencies and a swap table, not because it is cleverer than buying a pullback.

Trading carries risk and most retail accounts lose money. Nothing in this library is financial advice or a recommendation to trade. The charts are illustrations of the rules on constructed candles — they are not records of trades and not backtests.