Strategy library

Rules you can check before you trade them.

Every strategy carries its exact rules, an annotated chart of the setup, the research behind why it should work at all — and the conditions under which you should not take it.

Showing 11–14 of 14 matching strategies

Evidence: StrongProfessional

Surprise-Scaled Reaction

the number against the forecast, not the number

A release on its own carries no information. What moves price is the gap between what printed and what was expected — and the size of that gap, measured against how large surprises usually are for that release.

M1 execution · the surprise computed before the releaseNews · Event
Evidence: ModerateProfessional

Spike Fade

when the reaction outruns the surprise

Price adjustment to a release is concentrated in the first minute. Inside that minute, orders are filled at whatever is available rather than at anything considered — which is how a small surprise produces a move the size of a large one.

M1 executionNews · Mean reversion
Evidence: ModerateProfessional

Liquidity Recovery Entry

let the spread come back first

Every other approach to a release argues about direction. This one argues about time: liquidity provision and the cost of trading return to their pre-announcement levels within roughly five to fifteen minutes of a release.

M5 execution · the release timed on M1News · Event
Evidence: WeakProfessional

The Pre-Release Straddle

the strategy the research argues against

Place a buy stop above the market and a sell stop below it a few minutes before a release, and let whichever way it jumps fill you. It is the first idea almost everybody has about trading news, and it is on this page because it deserves a straight answer rather than being left off the list.

M1 · orders placed before the releaseNews · Event

What the evidence rating means

Strong

The mechanism has peer-reviewed, FX-specific research behind it.

Moderate

The mechanism is sound, but at least one step of it is untested.

Weak

Practitioner literature only — no published research supports the mechanism.

It rates the mechanism — whether there is published research explaining why the market should behave this way. It does not rate profit. Strong does not mean the trade will work. None of these have been run on our own account, and no page here shows a backtest figure.

What the level means

Beginner

One instrument, one timeframe, every rule visible on the chart.

Intermediate

Several conditions have to line up, and execution starts to matter.

Professional

Needs an outside data feed, a basket, real order flow, or an unusual tolerance for lumpy losses.

The level describes what it takes to run the strategy, not how well it works. Several Beginner pages are better evidenced than several Professional ones — a basket carry trade is Professional because it needs eight currencies and a swap table, not because it is cleverer than buying a pullback.

Trading carries risk and most retail accounts lose money. Nothing in this library is financial advice or a recommendation to trade. The charts are illustrations of the rules on constructed candles — they are not records of trades and not backtests.