Strategy library

Rules you can check before you trade them.

Every strategy carries its exact rules, an annotated chart of the setup, the research behind why it should work at all — and the conditions under which you should not take it.

Showing 21–30 of 30 matching strategies

Evidence: ModerateIntermediate

Keltner Channel Fade

bands built from range, not deviation

A Keltner channel measures the same distance as a Bollinger band but with a different ruler: average true range instead of standard deviation. Range reacts to gaps and spikes differently from deviation, so the two bands disagree exactly when it matters most.

M15 primary · H1 for contextMean reversion · Volatility band
Evidence: ModerateIntermediate

Daily Range Exhaustion

the day has spent its budget

A pair has an average daily range, and most days it does not travel much further than that. When price has already covered its whole average range by mid-session, the rest of the day is more likely to be spent going sideways or giving some back than extending.

M15 execution · the range measured on D1Mean reversion · Session
Evidence: ModerateIntermediate

Volatility Contraction Breakout

the range narrows, then gives way

Ranges do not narrow at random. A market that has stopped moving is a market where the two sides have run out of disagreement, and that state does not last — the next expansion arrives, usually soon, because volatility clusters.

H1 primary · H4 for contextVolatility · Expansion
Evidence: ModerateIntermediate

Squeeze Release

Bollinger bands inside the Keltner channel

Two ways of measuring the same width disagree in a useful way. Bollinger bands are built from standard deviation, which collapses fast when price goes quiet. The Keltner channel is built from average true range, which collapses slowly.

H1 or H4 · the same rule reads on bothVolatility · Band compression
Evidence: ModerateIntermediate

ATR Expansion Continuation

join the bar that broke the quiet

The opposite trade to a contraction breakout. Here the expansion has already happened — one bar has a true range far larger than anything around it — and the question is whether to join it or fade it.

H1 primaryVolatility · Expansion
Evidence: ModerateIntermediate

Risk-Off Safe Haven Entry

buying gold on the day equities break

Gold's reputation as a safe haven is half deserved, and the half that is deserved is very specific. Baur and Lucey's work drew the distinction that matters: a hedge is uncorrelated on average, a safe haven is uncorrelated exactly when equities fall hard. Gold is both, but the safe-haven behaviour lasts days, not months.

D1 signal · held two to five daysGold · Risk aversion
Evidence: ModerateIntermediate

Dollar-Inverse Confirmation

two charts have to agree before there is a trade

Gold is quoted in dollars, so part of every move in XAUUSD is not a move in gold at all — it is a move in the dollar wearing gold's clothes. Separating the two is the single most useful thing a gold trader can learn to do.

H4 confirmation · D1 for the trendGold · Cross-market
Evidence: WeakIntermediate

Asian Session Gold Drift

the hours when physical demand sets the price

Gold trades around the clock, but not to the same people. The Asian hours are dominated by physical demand — jewellery, coin and bar buying in the two countries that consume most of the world's gold — while the London and New York hours are dominated by financial flows.

M15 or H1 · intraday onlyGold · Session
Evidence: ModerateIntermediate

Top-Down Alignment

direction from the daily, entry from the intraday

The standard three-timeframe structure, written out properly. The daily chart decides whether you may trade and in which direction. The four-hour decides where. The fifteen-minute decides when.

D1 direction · H4 level · M15 triggerMulti-timeframe · Continuation
Evidence: ModerateIntermediate

Higher-Timeframe Level, Lower-Timeframe Trigger

the level is the edge; the trigger is the discount

A stripped-down version of the previous page, and in some ways a more honest one. There is no trend filter at all. There is a level that many people can see on a slow chart, and there is a fast chart used only to enter near it with a small stop.

D1 or W1 level · M15 triggerMulti-timeframe · Level

What the evidence rating means

Strong

The mechanism has peer-reviewed, FX-specific research behind it.

Moderate

The mechanism is sound, but at least one step of it is untested.

Weak

Practitioner literature only — no published research supports the mechanism.

It rates the mechanism — whether there is published research explaining why the market should behave this way. It does not rate profit. Strong does not mean the trade will work. None of these have been run on our own account, and no page here shows a backtest figure.

What the level means

Beginner

One instrument, one timeframe, every rule visible on the chart.

Intermediate

Several conditions have to line up, and execution starts to matter.

Professional

Needs an outside data feed, a basket, real order flow, or an unusual tolerance for lumpy losses.

The level describes what it takes to run the strategy, not how well it works. Several Beginner pages are better evidenced than several Professional ones — a basket carry trade is Professional because it needs eight currencies and a swap table, not because it is cleverer than buying a pullback.

Trading carries risk and most retail accounts lose money. Nothing in this library is financial advice or a recommendation to trade. The charts are illustrations of the rules on constructed candles — they are not records of trades and not backtests.