Activity Climax Reversal
the bar where everyone finally gave upA sharp move ends on one enormous bar with far more activity than anything around it, and the reading offered is that the last holders capitulated into buyers who were waiting.
Every strategy carries its exact rules, an annotated chart of the setup, the research behind why it should work at all — and the conditions under which you should not take it.
Showing 21–29 of 29 matching strategies
A sharp move ends on one enormous bar with far more activity than anything around it, and the reading offered is that the last holders capitulated into buyers who were waiting.
VWAP is not just another average. It is the benchmark large orders are graded on — a desk that fills above VWAP on a buy has done a bad job — which gives the level a real reason to attract orders rather than merely describe them.
Two ways of measuring the same width disagree in a useful way. Bollinger bands are built from standard deviation, which collapses fast when price goes quiet. The Keltner channel is built from average true range, which collapses slowly.
The opposite trade to a contraction breakout. Here the expansion has already happened — one bar has a true range far larger than anything around it — and the question is whether to join it or fade it.
Buy a new twenty-day high. Sell a new twenty-day low. There is no filter, no oscillator and no opinion, and versions of this have been traded since the 1960s.
Every page in this book so far takes one position and manages it. This one takes a small position and adds to it as the trend pays, so the largest exposure sits on the trade that has already proven itself.
Gold's reputation as a safe haven is half deserved, and the half that is deserved is very specific. Baur and Lucey's work drew the distinction that matters: a hedge is uncorrelated on average, a safe haven is uncorrelated exactly when equities fall hard. Gold is both, but the safe-haven behaviour lasts days, not months.
The slowest page in the book and, for most retail accounts, the most useful one. A single decision is made at the weekly close — long, short, or flat — and it does not change until the next weekly close, whatever happens in between.
Hold while the daily close stays above a moving average; leave on the first close below it. No distance, no multiple — the exit is a statement about the trend's character rather than about how far price has moved.
The mechanism has peer-reviewed, FX-specific research behind it.
The mechanism is sound, but at least one step of it is untested.
Practitioner literature only — no published research supports the mechanism.
It rates the mechanism — whether there is published research explaining why the market should behave this way. It does not rate profit. Strong does not mean the trade will work. None of these have been run on our own account, and no page here shows a backtest figure.
One instrument, one timeframe, every rule visible on the chart.
Several conditions have to line up, and execution starts to matter.
Needs an outside data feed, a basket, real order flow, or an unusual tolerance for lumpy losses.
The level describes what it takes to run the strategy, not how well it works. Several Beginner pages are better evidenced than several Professional ones — a basket carry trade is Professional because it needs eight currencies and a swap table, not because it is cleverer than buying a pullback.
Reading the library is free. A plan is what lets you turn one into a robot.
Trading carries risk and most retail accounts lose money. Nothing in this library is financial advice or a recommendation to trade. The charts are illustrations of the rules on constructed candles — they are not records of trades and not backtests.