Strategy library

Rules you can check before you trade them.

Every strategy carries its exact rules, an annotated chart of the setup, the research behind why it should work at all — and the conditions under which you should not take it.

Showing 1–10 of 10 matching strategies

Evidence: ModerateIntermediate

Intraday Momentum

opening period predicts closing period

The return of a session's first thirty minutes — measured from the previous session's close — predicts the return of its last thirty minutes.

M15 / M30 · NY sessionMomentum · Session
Evidence: StrongProfessional

Local-Hours Currency Momentum

the time-of-day tilt

FX returns carry a documented time-of-day pattern: currencies tend to depreciate during their own local trading hours and appreciate during foreign hours.

M15 primary · H1 secondaryMomentum · Session
Evidence: StrongIntermediate

Daily-Momentum-Gated Pullback

documented edge, intraday execution

The edge comes from daily momentum, which has the strongest evidence behind it in FX. The M15 chart is execution only — a way to get a better price inside a permission that has already been granted.

M15 entry · daily momentum gateMomentum · Multi-timeframe
Evidence: ModerateIntermediate

Displacement Continuation

range and body, nothing else

Displacement is a candle with a large body and small wicks. Two mechanical gates define it: range > 1.5 × the average range of the prior twelve bars, and body ≥ 70% of that candle's range.

M5 primary · M15 secondaryMomentum · Price Action
Evidence: ModerateProfessional

Volatility-Normalised Momentum

momentum in units of its own noise

Raw momentum is a trap: a fixed percentage move is enormous in a quiet market and entirely ordinary in a volatile one. A fixed threshold has no idea which regime it is in.

M15 primary · M30 secondaryMomentum · Statistical
Evidence: StrongProfessional

Cross-Sectional Currency Momentum

rank them, hold the winners, short the losers

Every other momentum page in this book asks whether this instrument is trending. This one asks a different question: of the currencies available, which have been strongest, and which weakest?

Monthly ranking · held one to three monthsMomentum · Cross-sectional
Evidence: ModerateIntermediate

Rate of Change Threshold

momentum as a number, not as a crossing

The simplest possible measurement: price now divided by price N bars ago. If it is above a threshold, the instrument is in an uptrend; below, a downtrend. No smoothing, no crossings, no lag beyond the lookback itself.

H4 or D1Momentum · Indicator
Evidence: ModerateIntermediate

Proximity to the 52-Week High

how close to the top of the range, rather than how far it has come

A different way of measuring the same effect. Instead of ranking by return, rank by how close price is to its own twelve-month high. The two rankings often disagree, and the difference is informative.

D1 · held weeks to monthsMomentum · Anchoring
Evidence: StrongProfessional

The Momentum Crash Filter

the one thing that has reliably broken this family

Momentum's failures are not spread evenly. They arrive as crashes — short, violent periods where the losers rally hardest and a momentum book loses more in weeks than it made in years.

Monthly assessment · applies to any momentum bookMomentum · Risk management
Evidence: WeakBeginner

MACD Histogram Acceleration

the popular one, and what it actually measures

The MACD histogram is the difference between two exponential averages, minus a third average of that difference. Rising histogram is usually described as accelerating momentum.

H1 or H4Momentum · Indicator

What the evidence rating means

Strong

The mechanism has peer-reviewed, FX-specific research behind it.

Moderate

The mechanism is sound, but at least one step of it is untested.

Weak

Practitioner literature only — no published research supports the mechanism.

It rates the mechanism — whether there is published research explaining why the market should behave this way. It does not rate profit. Strong does not mean the trade will work. None of these have been run on our own account, and no page here shows a backtest figure.

What the level means

Beginner

One instrument, one timeframe, every rule visible on the chart.

Intermediate

Several conditions have to line up, and execution starts to matter.

Professional

Needs an outside data feed, a basket, real order flow, or an unusual tolerance for lumpy losses.

The level describes what it takes to run the strategy, not how well it works. Several Beginner pages are better evidenced than several Professional ones — a basket carry trade is Professional because it needs eight currencies and a swap table, not because it is cleverer than buying a pullback.

Trading carries risk and most retail accounts lose money. Nothing in this library is financial advice or a recommendation to trade. The charts are illustrations of the rules on constructed candles — they are not records of trades and not backtests.